The Buffalo Bills' decision to hire Joe Brady as their new head coach has sparked intriguing discussions about the team's strategy and the broader NFL landscape. This move, made in January, raises questions about the frequency of internal promotions within the league and the potential pitfalls of such hires. The author delves into the concept of 'Internal Promotion Misses' (IPMs), where teams miss out on promoting from within, often due to external hires. The article highlights notable examples, including the Washington Commanders' coaching staff fiasco, where Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay emerged as successful head coaches after leaving their initial teams.
The author argues that while internal promotions can be risky, they are not always the panacea for success. The mention of Jim Tomsula, Dirk Koetter, Antonio Pierce, Lovie Smith, and Jerod Mayo as recent internal promotion failures serves as a reminder that not all internal hires pan out. The article then shifts focus to the Bills' hire of Brady, suggesting that the team's decision was influenced by the desire to avoid an IPM, especially considering Brady's prior experience with the organization. The author speculates that the team's brass wanted to ensure a thorough and fair interview process, with nine candidates, to prevent any potential bias or preferential treatment.
The piece concludes by emphasizing the importance of thorough evaluation and the potential consequences of rushing internal promotions. It encourages readers to consider the complexities of team management and the delicate balance between loyalty and performance in the NFL. The author's personal perspective is evident throughout, offering a unique insight into the strategic considerations behind team decisions.
